Rutgers vs Louisville 10/21/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Rutgers winning 56% of simulations, and Louisville 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Rutgers commits fewer turnovers in 57% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Louisville wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jawan Jamison is averaging 64 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 75%. Dominique Brown is averaging 40 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (18% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LOU -1.5 --- Over/Under line is 40

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